Europa League Last 16
Global 4-0
HNK Hajduk Split vs Radnicki Nis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.5%
Win probability
5.92
Expected goals
10-0
1.5%
+10
1.5%
9-0
2.5%
10-1
1.4%
+9
3.9%
8-0
3.7%
9-1
2.4%
10-2
0.7%
+8
6.9%
7-0
5.1%
8-1
3.7%
9-2
1.2%
10-3
0.2%
+7
10.2%
6-0
6%
7-1
5%
8-2
1.8%
9-3
0.4%
10-4
0.1%
+6
13.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
5.9%
7-2
2.5%
8-3
0.6%
9-4
0.1%
10-5
<0%
+5
15.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
6%
6-2
2.9%
7-3
0.8%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
1%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
0.6%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
5.1%
2.4%
Draw
0-0
0.1%
1-1
0.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
2.3%
1.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
0.1%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
0.8%
0-2
0%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
RAD
0 - 2
HKS
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
HKS
3 - 0
BUD
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
BUD
3 - 2
HKS
20%
30%
51%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
HKS
1 - 0
FCU
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
FCU
1 - 0
HKS
3%
28%
69%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Radnicki Nis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1983 |
RAD
0 - 2
HKS
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1983 |
BRA
3 - 2
RAD
37%
23%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
RAD
4 - 0
BRA
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1983 |
STG
1 - 2
RAD
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
RAD
3 - 0
STG
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |