HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Osijek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
4º
3º
4
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
13 | 68 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 68 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 66 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 53 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 49 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 26 |
10º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
22% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
57.5% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
IST
1 - 1
HKS
23%
27%
50%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
2 - 1
NKV
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
0 - 1
RUZ
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HKS
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
RUZ
0 - 0
HKS
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 2
RIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HNG
2 - 2
OSI
23%
25%
53%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 2
OSI
22%
25%
54%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 2
DZG
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 1
ZIR
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |