HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
3º
3º
42
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
OSI
0 - 1
HKS
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HKS
1 - 0
RUD
81%
14%
5%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
JAD
0 - 2
HKS
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 1
HKS
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HKS
0 - 2
OSI
51%
24%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 1
DZG
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 0
NKV
19%
25%
56%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NKV
0 - 0
LOK
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SLA
3 - 2
NKV
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NKV
1 - 0
HNG
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |