HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
2º
2º
46
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RIJ
0 - 1
HKS
35%
25%
41%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 2
IST
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 0
RIJ
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 1
HKS
12%
20%
68%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
5 - 1
SLA
72%
18%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 1
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SLA
1 - 0
NKV
39%
27%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 2
NKV
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 1
HNG
31%
26%
44%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
NKV
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |