HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
INT
2 - 2
HKS
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
HRV
0 - 3
HKS
9%
19%
72%
|
81 | 34 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
HKS
0 - 1
RIJ
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
DZG
0 - 0
HKS
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
HKS
1 - 1
HNK
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
NKV
2 - 2
SLA
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
NKO
2 - 3
NKV
5%
12%
82%
|
77 | 8 | 69 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
OSI
2 - 0
NKV
37%
26%
38%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
INT
1 - 2
NKV
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
NKV
1 - 4
RIJ
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |