HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
HKS
3 - 0
ZAG
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
OSI
0 - 2
HKS
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
FUL
2 - 2
HKS
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ZAD
0 - 1
HKS
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
HKS
5 - 1
POM
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ZAD
1 - 5
NKV
21%
24%
56%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
NKV
4 - 2
POM
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
NKV
1 - 1
MID
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SLA
2 - 1
NKV
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
NKV
0 - 2
DZG
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |