Q. Europa League Final
Global 5-2
HNK Hajduk Split vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 1997 |
OSI
1 - 0
HKS
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
HKS
2 - 0
NKV
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
HKS
2 - 0
GRE
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
GRE
1 - 4
HKS
18%
21%
62%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
HKS
2 - 3
IST
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
ORE
0 - 5
MFF
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1997 |
MFF
4 - 2
HEL
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
TRE
2 - 1
MFF
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1997 |
MFF
1 - 1
GÖT
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
GÖT
1 - 1
MFF
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |