Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 0-1
HNK Hajduk Split vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
66.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
LEE
1 - 0
HKS
92%
6%
2%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
HKS
3 - 0
HIB
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
HIB
4 - 2
HKS
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
HKS
2 - 0
WRE
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
WRE
3 - 1
HKS
26%
21%
53%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1973 |
LIV
2 - 0
LEE
48%
26%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
LEE
4 - 0
CRY
82%
13%
5%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1973 |
LEE
0 - 1
MUD
70%
18%
12%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
WHU
1 - 1
LEE
28%
28%
44%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1973 |
LEE
1 - 0
HKS
92%
6%
2%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |