Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
HNK Hajduk Split vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
HIB
4 - 2
HKS
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
HKS
2 - 0
WRE
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
WRE
3 - 1
HKS
26%
21%
53%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
FFK
0 - 1
HKS
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
HKS
1 - 0
FFK
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
HIB
2 - 1
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1973 |
HIB
2 - 0
PAR
67%
19%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
KIL
2 - 2
HIB
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
HIB
4 - 2
HKS
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1973 |
HIB
5 - 0
DUM
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |