Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-0
HNK Hajduk Split vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
HKS
1 - 1
VCF
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
VCF
0 - 0
HKS
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
HKS
2 - 1
VST
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
VST
2 - 0
HKS
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
SSO
1 - 0
HKS
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
VKG
0 - 1
FFK
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1972 |
FFK
2 - 0
SKE
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1972 |
FFK
0 - 1
STR
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
HAM
0 - 1
FFK
46%
25%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1972 |
FFK
1 - 0
MJO
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |