Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 4-1
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
DUN
1 - 0
HKS
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1976 |
HKS
1 - 2
ATM
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
ATM
1 - 0
HKS
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
HKS
3 - 0
LIE
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1976 |
LIE
1 - 0
HKS
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
DUN
1 - 0
HKS
24%
22%
54%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
PSV
6 - 0
DUN
92%
6%
2%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
DUN
1 - 1
PSV
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1969 |
DUN
0 - 4
LIV
27%
27%
47%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1969 |
LIV
10 - 0
DUN
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |