Europa League Last 16
Global 3-0
HNK Hajduk Split vs Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
DNI
0 - 1
HKS
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
HKS
3 - 1
TOR
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
TOR
1 - 1
HKS
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
MET
2 - 2
HKS
3%
29%
68%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
HKS
5 - 1
MET
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
DNI
0 - 1
HKS
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
DNI
1 - 0
PSV
26%
24%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
PSV
2 - 2
DNI
86%
9%
4%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
DNI
2 - 1
ERZ
86%
10%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
ERZ
1 - 3
DNI
23%
22%
55%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |