Europa League 1/16
Global 5-3
HNK Hajduk Split vs Budapest Honved analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.9%
7.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
BUD
3 - 2
HKS
20%
30%
51%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
HKS
1 - 0
FCU
91%
6%
3%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
FCU
1 - 0
HKS
3%
28%
69%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
GIR
4 - 0
HKS
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
HKS
4 - 1
GIR
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Budapest Honved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1983 |
BUD
3 - 2
HKS
20%
30%
51%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
BUD
3 - 0
LAR
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
LAR
2 - 0
BUD
27%
24%
50%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
BUD
0 - 2
RMA
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
RMA
1 - 0
BUD
90%
7%
3%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |