Europa League 1/16
Global 5-3
HNK Hajduk Split vs Botev Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
HKS
4 - 0
OFI
96%
3%
1%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
OFI
1 - 0
HKS
2%
25%
73%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
KSV
1 - 0
HKS
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1986 |
HKS
1 - 0
KSV
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
HKS
2 - 0
DNI
74%
15%
11%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Botev Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1986 |
ASV
0 - 1
BOT
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
BOT
5 - 1
SVA
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
CHB
3 - 2
BOT
36%
27%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
BOT
8 - 0
HIB
95%
4%
2%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
BOT
5 - 1
OFK
81%
12%
7%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |