Haiti vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
CRC
1 - 1
HTI
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2007 |
HTI
0 - 2
CAN
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
HTI
1 - 1
CRC
18%
22%
60%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2007 |
GLP
1 - 1
HTI
11%
19%
70%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2007 |
HTI
3 - 0
VCT
75%
17%
9%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
BLZ
0 - 1
SLV
18%
22%
60%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2007 |
JAM
3 - 0
SLV
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
SLV
0 - 0
TTO
30%
25%
44%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SLV
2 - 2
CRC
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ECU
5 - 1
SLV
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |