Haiti vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
HTI
1 - 0
TTO
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2008 |
TTO
2 - 0
HTI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 1
HTI
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
HTI
0 - 0
ANT
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
HND
3 - 1
HTI
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
GUY
1 - 1
SUR
58%
22%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
DMA
1 - 3
SUR
17%
21%
61%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
GUY
1 - 2
SUR
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
SUR
1 - 0
GUY
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
ANT
2 - 1
SUR
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |