Haiti vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 2
ECU
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 1
CHI
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 0
GUY
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1973 |
HTI
3 - 1
GUY
82%
11%
7%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1972 |
HTI
1 - 0
CHI
35%
23%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1973 |
HTI
1 - 2
ECU
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
ECU
0 - 0
BOL
47%
21%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
BOL
3 - 3
ECU
72%
15%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
28%
22%
51%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
ECU
1 - 1
DDR
9%
19%
73%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |