Haiti vs Bermuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MSR
0 - 4
HTI
6%
13%
81%
|
69 | 34 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
HTI
6 - 0
GUY
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
GUY
2 - 6
HTI
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
HTI
3 - 2
MSR
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BMU
0 - 0
HTI
18%
21%
62%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BMU
0 - 2
GUY
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
BMU
3 - 0
MSR
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MSR
3 - 2
BMU
10%
15%
76%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
GUY
2 - 1
BMU
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BMU
0 - 0
HTI
18%
21%
62%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |