Caribbean Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-0
Haiti vs Bermuda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
HTI
1 - 1
SUR
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2006 |
MTQ
1 - 0
HTI
18%
21%
61%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
HTI
1 - 2
CUB
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2006 |
HTI
0 - 1
CUB
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
HTI
0 - 0
CUB
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bermuda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
BRB
1 - 1
BMU
53%
23%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
BHS
0 - 4
BMU
14%
20%
66%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
BMU
0 - 3
VCT
49%
22%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
BMU
3 - 1
DOM
35%
23%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2006 |
VIR
0 - 6
BMU
1%
9%
90%
|
54 | 6 | 48 | 0 |