Haiti vs Montserrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
BMU
0 - 0
HTI
18%
21%
62%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
GTM
2 - 1
HTI
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
HTI
2 - 0
JOR
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
BHR
6 - 1
HTI
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MTQ
1 - 2
HTI
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MSR
1 - 2
GUY
13%
18%
70%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
TTO
6 - 1
MSR
86%
11%
3%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
GRD
1 - 2
MSR
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
MSR
4 - 0
VIR
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 5 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
MSR
1 - 1
SLV
5%
11%
84%
|
28 | 70 | 42 | +2 |