WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 2 Final
Global 1-4
Haiti vs Jamaica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2004 |
SLV
3 - 3
HTI
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
GTM
1 - 0
HTI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
USA
1 - 1
HTI
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
HTI
18%
23%
60%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
TCA
0 - 2
HTI
7%
14%
79%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
IRL
1 - 0
JAM
75%
18%
8%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
NGA
2 - 0
JAM
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
JAM
2 - 1
VEN
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
JAM
2 - 2
HND
29%
26%
46%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
JAM
2 - 0
URU
17%
24%
60%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |