Haiti vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
USA
1 - 0
HTI
81%
13%
6%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
PAN
1 - 1
HTI
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
CHN
2 - 2
HTI
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
CUB
1 - 2
HTI
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
JAM
2 - 0
HTI
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
HND
1 - 1
PAN
41%
25%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
USA
2 - 1
HND
72%
18%
11%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
HND
0 - 0
MEX
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
HND
88%
10%
3%
|
80 | 98 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
HND
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |