Caribbean Cup 4ta Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Haiti vs Cuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
KNA
0 - 2
HTI
10%
18%
72%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
HTI
1 - 0
KNA
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
JAM
3 - 1
HTI
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
HTI
2 - 0
MAF
93%
6%
1%
|
75 | 16 | 59 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2004 |
HTI
11 - 0
VIR
94%
5%
1%
|
75 | 6 | 69 | 0 |
Matches
Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
MTQ
0 - 2
CUB
21%
24%
56%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CUB
2 - 0
MTQ
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
CRC
1 - 1
CUB
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
CUB
2 - 2
CRC
24%
27%
48%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2004 |
CUB
2 - 2
GRD
75%
17%
9%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | -1 |