Haiti vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
60.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ARG
3 - 1
HTI
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
ECU
4 - 0
HTI
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
BRA
7 - 1
HTI
89%
9%
2%
|
71 | 97 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
HTI
0 - 1
PER
17%
24%
59%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
COL
3 - 1
HTI
82%
14%
4%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
COL
2 - 3
CRC
66%
21%
14%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
USA
4 - 0
CRC
55%
23%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CRC
0 - 0
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CRC
2 - 1
VEN
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
CRC
3 - 0
JAM
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |