Haiti U23 vs Mexico U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
75.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HND
1 - 0
HAI
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MEX
5 - 1
HAI
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
CAN
1 - 2
HAI
56%
22%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
HAI
0 - 1
GTM
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mexico U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MEX
4 - 0
CRC
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
MEX
21%
21%
59%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
USA
3 - 0
MEX
26%
22%
52%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
MEX
42%
24%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 1
JPN
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |