Haiti U20 vs Saint Lucia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haiti U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
PAN
3 - 1
HAI
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
USA
4 - 1
HAI
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
KNA
1 - 5
HAI
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
AYB
0 - 4
HAI
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HAI
3 - 0
BMU
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Saint Lucia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
CUB
1 - 1
LCA
81%
12%
7%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
LCA
0 - 4
TTO
10%
17%
73%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HAI
5 - 1
LCA
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 51 | 39 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
TTO
1 - 1
LCA
81%
13%
7%
|
11 | 43 | 32 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
LCA
1 - 0
GLP
13%
18%
69%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | +2 |