Haikou Mingcheng vs Yunnan Yukun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+85%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
8º
8º
27
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haikou Mingcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 0
HSF
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 1
HSF
10%
16%
74%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
HSF
1 - 2
JIA
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
HSF
2 - 1
QYF
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
XIR
1 - 1
HSF
8%
13%
79%
|
43 | 6 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Yunnan Yukun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
YUN
2 - 0
JIA
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
YUN
10%
15%
75%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
YUN
2 - 0
GFC
13%
18%
70%
|
28 | 56 | 28 | +3 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
YUN
5 - 0
SSP
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +8 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
QMW
0 - 1
YUN
9%
13%
78%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |