Haikou Mingcheng vs Taian Tiankuang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
57.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
7º
4º
25
2º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 21 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 16 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 16 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 15 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 15 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 14 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 14 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 9 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 8 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haikou Mingcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
XIR
0 - 1
HSF
13%
17%
70%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HSF
1 - 1
SHA
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 2
HSF
38%
22%
39%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HBF
2 - 2
HSF
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
HSF
0 - 1
GUA
44%
22%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Taian Tiankuang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
QYF
1 - 2
TTF
17%
22%
61%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
XIR
1 - 0
TTF
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TTF
2 - 1
HFC
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 2
TTF
22%
24%
55%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TTF
2 - 4
SHU
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |