Haikou Mingcheng vs Jiangxi Lushan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haikou Mingcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
HSF
2 - 1
QYF
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
XIR
1 - 1
HSF
8%
13%
79%
|
43 | 6 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SSP
2 - 0
HSF
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 0
HSF
6%
12%
82%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HSF
0 - 1
GUA
93%
5%
2%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 0
DTF
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
JXF
1 - 0
JIA
67%
20%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 2
YAN
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
DUF
1 - 0
JIA
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
JIA
0 - 1
SJF
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |