Haikou Mingcheng vs Jiangxi Dark Horse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
8º
8º
17
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haikou Mingcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
HSF
10%
16%
75%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HSF
3 - 1
YUN
75%
14%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
HBF
1 - 0
HSF
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 1
HSF
10%
16%
74%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
HSF
1 - 2
JIA
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Jiangxi Dark Horse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SSP
1 - 0
JIA
88%
9%
4%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 1
HBF
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
YUN
2 - 0
JIA
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
QYF
0 - 0
JIA
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 3
QYI
9%
16%
75%
|
19 | 58 | 39 | 0 |