Haikou Mingcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
8º
8º
36
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 13 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 13 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haikou Mingcheng
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
QYF
1 - 2
HSF
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
HSF
0 - 0
SSP
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HSF
0 - 3
JIA
86%
9%
4%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 1
HSF
10%
16%
75%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HSF
3 - 1
YUN
75%
14%
11%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Chongqing Tonglianglong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 1
JIA
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
4 - 1
HBF
44%
23%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
YUN
0 - 0
CHO
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2023 |
QYF
1 - 3
CHO
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
CBC
5%
14%
81%
|
26 | 71 | 45 | +1 |