Hagen Ahrensburg vs TuRa Meldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 0
HAG
89%
8%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HAG
4 - 0
DOR
56%
22%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
3 - 0
HAG
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HAG
2 - 0
LUB
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
HAG
42%
23%
34%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
TuRa Meldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TUR
2 - 2
PRE
21%
23%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
5 - 0
TUR
91%
6%
3%
|
14 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TUR
0 - 0
NTS
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DOR
3 - 0
TUR
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TUR
0 - 2
HUL
29%
23%
48%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |