Hagen Ahrensburg vs Todesfelde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 0
HAG
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TUR
3 - 1
HAG
24%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
HAG
0 - 4
HOL
14%
19%
67%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LUB
0 - 1
HAG
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 1
HEI
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Todesfelde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
TOD
0 - 2
HEI
45%
23%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 1
TOD
31%
23%
47%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
LUB
3 - 1
TOD
59%
19%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TOD
0 - 2
HAR
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
EIC
2 - 1
TOD
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |