Hagen Ahrensburg vs Schilksee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EIC
2 - 1
HAG
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 0
HAG
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
NTS
1 - 4
HAG
65%
19%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
HAG
3 - 1
DOR
40%
23%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
HAG
0 - 1
TOD
17%
19%
64%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Schilksee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SCH
1 - 3
FLE
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 1
DOR
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 1
EIC
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TOD
3 - 1
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 3
TUR
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |