Hagen Ahrensburg vs NTSV Strand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HUL
0 - 5
HAG
86%
9%
5%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
TOD
3 - 1
HAG
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
HAG
0 - 1
FLE
14%
19%
67%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NTSV Strand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
NTS
0 - 3
HOL
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
NTS
1 - 3
HEI
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 2
NTS
12%
17%
71%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
HUS
4 - 3
NTS
15%
19%
67%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
NTS
4 - 1
KRO
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |