Hagen Ahrensburg vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HUS
4 - 0
HAG
75%
15%
11%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
HAG
0 - 2
ALT
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
HOL
5 - 0
HAG
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 1
HAG
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 0
HAG
79%
13%
9%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
LUB
8 - 0
FLE
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TUR
1 - 2
LUB
13%
22%
65%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
LUB
6 - 1
KRO
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TOD
0 - 1
LUB
17%
23%
61%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
HUS
1 - 1
LUB
15%
22%
64%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | -1 |