Hagen Ahrensburg vs Heikendorfer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 0
HEI
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 3
PRE
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
DOR
1 - 2
HAG
66%
19%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
HAG
1 - 1
NTS
24%
23%
54%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
HAG
1 - 0
EIC
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heikendorfer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 0
FLE
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TUR
4 - 0
HEI
29%
24%
48%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
HEI
0 - 5
KRO
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LUB
6 - 1
HEI
80%
14%
6%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
5 - 0
HEI
38%
25%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |