Hagen Ahrensburg vs Heikendorfer SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 1
HAG
37%
24%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HAG
2 - 3
SCH
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
EIC
2 - 0
HAG
78%
13%
8%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
HAG
6 - 1
HUL
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NTS
0 - 1
HAG
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Heikendorfer SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 0
HEI
23%
24%
53%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HEI
3 - 0
LUB
30%
23%
47%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 2
EIC
23%
23%
54%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 2
HEI
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HEI
3 - 1
HUL
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |