Hagen Ahrensburg vs Heider SV analysis

Hagen Ahrensburg Heider SV
17 ELO 17
2.3% Tilt -1.1%
10447º General ELO ranking 4294º
470º Country ELO ranking 199º
ELO win probability
40.2%
Hagen Ahrensburg
22.9%
Draw
36.9%
Heider SV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
Hagen Ahrensburg
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
36.9%
Win probability
Heider SV
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hagen Ahrensburg
-36%
+148%
Heider SV

ELO progression

Hagen Ahrensburg
Heider SV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hagen Ahrensburg
Hagen Ahrensburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2013
HAG
Hagen Ahrensburg
2 - 3
Preetzer TSV
PRE
21%
22%
57%
17 26 9 0
14 Aug. 2013
DOR
Dornbreite Lübeck
1 - 2
Hagen Ahrensburg
HAG
66%
19%
16%
16 20 4 +1
11 Aug. 2013
HAG
Hagen Ahrensburg
1 - 1
NTSV Strand
NTS
24%
23%
54%
15 22 7 +1
07 Aug. 2013
HAG
Hagen Ahrensburg
1 - 0
SV Eichede II
EIC
45%
23%
32%
15 16 1 0
03 Aug. 2013
SCH
Schilksee
1 - 1
Hagen Ahrensburg
HAG
70%
17%
13%
14 20 6 +1

Matches

Heider SV
Heider SV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2013
FLE
Flensburg 08
5 - 0
Heider SV
HEI
82%
12%
6%
18 29 11 0
14 Aug. 2013
HEI
Heider SV
1 - 0
TuRa Meldorf
TUR
57%
22%
22%
17 15 2 +1
10 Aug. 2013
KRO
Kropp
5 - 2
Heider SV
HEI
76%
16%
9%
18 30 12 -1
07 Aug. 2013
HUS
Husumer SV
1 - 1
Heider SV
HEI
52%
21%
27%
18 18 0 0
02 Aug. 2013
HEI
Heider SV
0 - 3
VfB Lübeck
LUB
11%
21%
69%
19 48 29 -1