Hagen Ahrensburg vs Heider SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+142%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
HAG
2 - 1
TUR
57%
21%
21%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 0
HAG
89%
8%
4%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HAG
4 - 0
DOR
56%
22%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
3 - 0
HAG
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HAG
2 - 0
LUB
13%
17%
70%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | +3 |
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 3
HOL
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DOR
5 - 0
HEI
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUB
5 - 1
HEI
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 2
HAR
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 0
HEI
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |