Hagen Ahrensburg vs Hartenholm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HAG
2 - 1
UNI
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HEI
1 - 2
HAG
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HAG
0 - 0
SCH
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
EIC
2 - 1
HAG
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
HEI
0 - 0
HAG
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hartenholm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
TUR
41%
24%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
5 - 1
HAR
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 0
TOD
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
KRO
5 - 1
HAR
72%
17%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
HAR
1 - 2
ALT
29%
24%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |