Hagen Ahrensburg vs Flensburg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
59.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
TUR
2 - 1
HAG
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HAG
1 - 2
KRO
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
LUB
7 - 0
HAG
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 0
HAG
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
HAG
1 - 4
HOL
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Flensburg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2014 |
FLE
3 - 1
TOD
62%
19%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FLE
0 - 1
TUR
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
KRO
0 - 4
FLE
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
FLE
3 - 1
HAR
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
HEI
5 - 0
FLE
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |