Hades vs Tongeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
6º
14º
8º
2
7º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 60 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
8 | 55 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 55 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 51 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 40 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 40 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 36 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 33 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 32 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 12 |
16º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 10% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 2
HAD
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HAD
1 - 0
WEZ
36%
24%
41%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
KVV
2 - 0
HAD
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HAD
0 - 0
BER
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HAD
1 - 1
OPH
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Tongeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TON
1 - 1
RUP
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
EEN
2 - 1
TON
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
TON
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TON
1 - 2
RAC
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TON
0 - 1
KOS
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |