Häcken vs IFK Varnamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
11º
9º
23
9º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 63 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 49 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 49 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 48 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 44 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 37 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 31 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 31 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
41.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 25 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 24% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Häcken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
1 - 2
HEI
45%
22%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 3
HÄC
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
HÄC
31%
23%
46%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
HÄC
6 - 1
PAI
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
HÄC
6 - 1
F91
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Varnamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
JON
1 - 2
IFK
14%
20%
66%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 3
HIF
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GÖT
0 - 0
IFK
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 4
SIR
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 0
IFK
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |