HFC Haarlem vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1984 |
UTR
2 - 1
HFC
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
HFC
2 - 2
FCD
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1984 |
SPA
3 - 4
HFC
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
HFC
2 - 2
EXC
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
RJC
0 - 1
HFC
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1984 |
WIL
0 - 5
FEY
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
FOR
7 - 0
WIL
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1984 |
WIL
0 - 0
HEL
56%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
VOL
3 - 2
WIL
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
WIL
1 - 2
ZWO
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |