HFC Haarlem vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1979 |
GAE
2 - 1
HFC
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
HFC
1 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
AJA
1 - 1
HFC
87%
9%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
HFC
1 - 5
EXC
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 0
HFC
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 1
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 5
GAE
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 2
VIT
56%
23%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
VIT
1 - 1
AJA
21%
25%
53%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
EXC
2 - 0
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |