HFC Haarlem vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
55.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
HFC
2 - 0
MVV
48%
26%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
BOS
4 - 2
HFC
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
HFC
1 - 0
GRA
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
BVV
2 - 0
HFC
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
BVO
3 - 1
HFC
50%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 2
BOS
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 0
SPA
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
3 - 2
NEC
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
SPA
3 - 1
BVV
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2003 |
BVO
1 - 2
SPA
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |