HFC Haarlem vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1976 |
RJC
1 - 1
HFC
65%
21%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
HFC
3 - 1
AMS
49%
25%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
FEY
7 - 0
HFC
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
HFC
0 - 0
GAE
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
TEL
0 - 1
HFC
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
GRA
3 - 0
NEC
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
EIN
3 - 1
NEC
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
NEC
0 - 0
RJC
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
AMS
2 - 2
NEC
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |