HFC Haarlem vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
HFC
1 - 4
APE
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2005 |
HFC
0 - 0
BVV
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
SPA
6 - 1
HFC
79%
13%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
TEL
3 - 1
HFC
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
HFC
0 - 2
VVV
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 4
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
HER
3 - 2
FCE
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2005 |
HEL
0 - 1
HER
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
HER
1 - 3
GAE
64%
20%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
HER
4 - 1
FCD
71%
17%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |