HFC Haarlem vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
FCE
2 - 1
HFC
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 0
FCO
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2003 |
HEL
1 - 0
HFC
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
HFC
0 - 1
VOL
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
BVO
4 - 0
HFC
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
HER
1 - 1
EIN
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
BOS
2 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
HER
2 - 1
FCD
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
FOR
0 - 3
HER
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2003 |
HER
1 - 0
VVV
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |